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This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 3% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 3% to break even | 0%–35% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 3% to break even | 0%–21% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1217%needs 3% to break even | 6%–40% | 14 points betterwon 17%, needs 3% |
| Last season | 2 of 1217%needs 3% to break even | 6%–40% | 14 points betterwon 17%, needs 3% |
| Every game | 2 of 1217%needs 3% to break even | 6%–40% | 14 points betterwon 17%, needs 3% |
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Cedric Tillman game, newest first: whether Tillman scored a touchdown.
| Wk 14 |
| No TD |
| Lost |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 12 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 1 | 1 TD | Won |