This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 6% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 10%needs 6% to break even | 0%–73% | 6 points shortwon 0%, needs 6% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 10%needs 6% to break even | 0%–73% | 6 points shortwon 0%, needs 6% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 10%needs 6% to break even | 0%–73% | 6 points shortwon 0%, needs 6% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 6% to break even | 0%–73% | 6 points shortwon 0%, needs 6% |
| Every game | 0 of 10%needs 6% to break even | 0%–73% | 6 points shortwon 0%, needs 6% |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: NO allows 1 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 14th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9). How NO defends wide receivers
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Brandon Smith game, newest first: whether Smith scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost | |