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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
J.J. McCarthy over 19.5 rushing yards
Won5 of 12last 15 games · 42%
Best price-168Kalshi
Price needs62.7%wins to break even
Every game5 of 12this season and last
Trend score-32.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 63% to break even | 14%–73% | 23 points shortwon 40%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 63% to break even | 13%–56% | 33 points shortwon 30%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1242%needs 63% to break even | 22%–64% | 21 points shortwon 42%, needs 63% |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 63% to break even | 12%–88% | 13 points shortwon 50%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 4 of 1040%needs 63% to break even | 19%–65% | 23 points shortwon 40%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 5 of 1242%needs 63% to break even | 22%–64% | 21 points shortwon 42%, needs 63% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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J.J. McCarthy over 19.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +129at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 44% to break even | -5.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +110at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 48% to break even | -1.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 23.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -109at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -4.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 29.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 65% to break even | 1.2Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on J.J. McCarthy in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.