This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 38% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 38% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 38% to break even | 13%–48% | 11 points shortwon 27%, needs 38% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 38% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 2 of 1217%needs 38% to break even | 6%–40% | 21 points shortwon 17%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 4 of 1724%needs 38% to break even | 11%–43% | 14 points shortwon 24%, needs 38% |
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 34 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 12 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 40 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 33 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 0 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 69 | -49.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 33 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 96 | -76.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 58 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 32 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 98 | -78.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 66 | -46.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 44 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 27 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 71 | -51.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsMarvin Harrison Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 28.5 receiving yardsMarvin Harrison Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -135at BetMGM | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 57% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsMarvin Harrison Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at BetRivers | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even | -7.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsMarvin Harrison Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsMarvin Harrison Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 receptionsMarvin Harrison Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -102at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 50% to break even | -19.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.