This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 53% to break even | 65%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% | 28receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 6100%needs 53% to break even | 69%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% | 27.5receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 6100%needs 53% to break even | 69%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% | 27.5receiving yards |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 53% to break even | 69%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% | 27.5receiving yards |
| Every game | 6 of 6100%needs 53% to break even | 69%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% | 27.5receiving yards |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: HOU allows 185.7 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 3rd most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How HOU defends wide receivers
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 18.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsMalachi Fields · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 44% to break even | -23.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 17.5 receiving yardsMalachi Fields · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 53% to break even | -28.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 18.5 receiving yardsMalachi Fields · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetRivers | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 55% to break even | -29.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsMalachi Fields · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even | -22.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsMalachi Fields · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 63% to break even | -20.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsMalachi Fields · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at Bovada | 6 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped100%needs 55% to break even | 6.9Good | ||
| Scores a TDMalachi Fields · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +756at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 12% to break even | -4.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 receptionsMalachi Fields · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +222at DraftKings | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 31% to break even | -16.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 receptionsMalachi Fields · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +118at BetOnline | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 46% to break even | -25.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.