This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 12% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 12% to break even | 5%–56% | 8 points betterwon 20%, needs 12% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 617%needs 12% to break even | 4%–50% | 5 points betterwon 17%, needs 12% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 617%needs 12% to break even | 4%–50% | 5 points betterwon 17%, needs 12% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 12% to break even | 4%–50% | 5 points betterwon 17%, needs 12% |
| Every game | 1 of 617%needs 12% to break even | 4%–50% | 5 points betterwon 17%, needs 12% |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: HOU allows 1 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 13th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9). How HOU defends wide receivers
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Every Malachi Fields game, newest first: whether Fields scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.