This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 51% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 51% to break even | 22%–61% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 51% to break even | 35%–88% | 16 points betterwon 67%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 2 of 1217%needs 51% to break even | 6%–40% | 34 points shortwon 17%, needs 51% |
| Every game |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 99 | +49.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely |
| 18%–53% |
| 17 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% |
| 94 |
| +44.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 4 | 66 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 13 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 33 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 78 | +28.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 32 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 27 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 0 | -49.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 25 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 95 | +45.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 10 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 15 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 17 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 60 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 8 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 6 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 12 | -37.5 | Lost |
| +140at Kalshi |
| 10 of 12· last season83%needs 42% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.7Not beating its price |
| Under 47.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +140at Kalshi |
| 11 of 12· last season92%needs 42% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -7.4Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -119at DraftKings | 12 of 12· last season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 37% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +102at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 67% to break even | Record is this season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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