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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Isaiah Likely over 39.5 receiving yards
Won4 of 6this season · 67%
Best price-191Kalshi
Price needs65.6%wins to break even
Every game6 of 18this season and last
Trend score-35.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 66% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points shortwon 60%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 66% to break even | 19%–65% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 66% to break even | 22%–61% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 66% to break even | 35%–88% | 1 points betterwon 67%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 2 of 1217%needs 66% to break even | 6%–40% | 49 points shortwon 17%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 6 of 1833%needs 66% to break even | 18%–53% | 32 points shortwon 33%, needs 66% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Isaiah Likely over 39.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 39.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  NO | 99 | +59.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  WSH | 94 | +54.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  ARI | 66 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  TEN | 13 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  LAR | 33 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  DAL | 78 | +38.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  PIT | 32 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  GB | 27 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  NE | 0 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | PIT | 25 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  CIN | 95 | +55.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  NYJ | 10 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 |  CLE | 15 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  MIN | 17 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  MIA | 60 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  CHI | 8 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | LAR | 6 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  HOU | 12 | -27.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +140at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 47.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -112at DraftKings | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Isaiah Likely in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -119at DraftKings | 12 of 12· last season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 37% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +102at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 receptionsIsaiah Likely · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 67% to break even | Record is this season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.