This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 42% to break even | 5%–56% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% | 16.4receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 42% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% | 22.3receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 42% to break even | 28%–67% | 4 points betterwon 47%, needs 42% | 25.3receiving yards |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 42% to break even | 12%–65% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% | 18.2receiving yards |
| Last season | 7 of 1547%needs 42% to break even | 28%–67% | 4 points betterwon 47%, needs 42% | 29.5receiving yards |
| Every game | 9 of 2143%needs 42% to break even | 27%–60% | evenwon 43%, needs 42% | 26.3receiving yards |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 11 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 185.7 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 3rd most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How HOU defends wide receivers
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 0 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 14 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 20 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 48 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 27 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 20 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 35 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 35 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 6 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 25 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 74 | +49.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 34 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 15 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 11 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 68 | +43.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 15 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 44 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 20 | -4.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even1 of 11 on the road | -28.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 16.5 receiving yardsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -117at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 54% to break even2 of 11 on the road | -30.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 17.5 receiving yardsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -108at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -26.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -27.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 65% to break even5 of 11 on the road | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 46% to break even9 of 11 on the road | -1.6Not beating its price | ||
| Scores a TDDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +850at BetMGM | 1 of 15· last 15 games7%needs 11% to break even1 of 11 on the road | -8.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 receptionsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -139at BetOnline | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 58% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -36.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.