This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 16.4receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% | 22.3receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 53% to break even | 52%–87% | 20 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% | 25.3receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 18.2receiving yards |
| Last season |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 11 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 185.7 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 3rd most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How HOU defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 16.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 52%–87% |
| 20 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% |
| 29.5receiving yards |
| Every game | 14 of 2167%needs 53% to break even | 49%–81% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 26.3receiving yards |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 0 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 20 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 48 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 27 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 20 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 35 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 24 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 35 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 6 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 25 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 74 | +57.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 34 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 17 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 11 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 68 | +51.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 44 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 20 | +3.5 | Won | |
| +101at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even1 of 11 on the road |
| -28.3Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 receiving yardsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -117at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 54% to break even2 of 11 on the road | -30.1Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 receiving yardsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -108at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -26.7Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -27.8Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 65% to break even5 of 11 on the road | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +119at Kalshi |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 46% to break even9 of 11 on the road |
| -1.6Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +850at BetMGM | 1 of 15· last 15 games7%needs 11% to break even1 of 11 on the road | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsDarnell Mooney · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -139at BetOnline | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 58% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -36.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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