This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 55% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% | 9.4kicking points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 55% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% | 9.8kicking points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 55% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% | 10.1kicking points |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 55% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% | 9kicking points |
| Last season | 8 of 1747% |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 11 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Kicking points in each game against under 8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Kicking points | Beat 8.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 29%–66% |
| 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% |
| 10.4kicking points |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 55% to break even | 32%–64% | 7 points shortwon 48%, needs 55% | 10kicking points |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 14 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 20 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 16 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 15 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 14 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 14 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| -110at Fanatics |
| 9 of 17· last season53%needs 52% to break even7 of 11 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -19.1Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 kicking pointsKa'imi Fairbairn · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -101at DraftKings | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 50% to break even7 of 11 at home | -18.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +115at Fanatics |
| 14 of 17· last season82%needs 47% to break even8 of 11 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.0Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 field goals madeKa'imi Fairbairn · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +155at DraftKings | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 39% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 field goals madeKa'imi Fairbairn · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -199at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 67% to break even4 of 11 at home | -28.4Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 extra points madeKa'imi Fairbairn · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -145at BetMGM | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 59% to break even3 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -35.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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