This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 35% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 35% to break even | 13%–56% | 5 points shortwon 30%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 35% to break even | 13%–48% | 8 points shortwon 27%, needs 35% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 35% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 7 of 1839%needs 35% to break even | 23%–58% | 4 points betterwon 39%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 35% to break even | 24%–56% | 5 points betterwon 39%, needs 35% |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q total points in each game against under 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 1st quarter totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 40.5 game total, CAR gamesCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 3 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 4 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 0 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 21 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 21 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 14 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 0 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 13 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 13 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 49% to break even |
| -18.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 40% to break even |
| -5.3Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, CAR gamesCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, CAR gamesCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 43% to break even | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, CAR gamesCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV+104at Novig | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 49% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, CAR gamesCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 44% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| CAR -3.5 2nd half spreadCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 42% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 1st half team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, CAR gamesCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 1st half totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 38% to break even | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 1st half team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 2nd half totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 41% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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