This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 38% to break even | 5%–56% | 18 points shortwon 20%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 38% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 38% to break even | 28%–67% | 9 points betterwon 47%, needs 38% |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 38% to break even | 5%–56% | 18 points shortwon 20%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 10 of 1856%needs 38% to break even | 37%–73% | 18 points betterwon 56%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 38% to break even | 32%–64% | 10 points betterwon 48%, needs 38% |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
CAR points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | CAR points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 32 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 37 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 9 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 7 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 9 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 67% to break even | -26.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 21.5 team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 64% to break even | -24.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 23.5 team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even | -22.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.