This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 43% to break even | 17%–54% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 2 of 1811%needs 43% to break even | 4%–29% | 32 points shortwon 11%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 5 of 2322%needs 43% to break even | 11%–38% | 21 points shortwon 22%, needs 43% |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
CAR 1H points in each game against over 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | CAR 1H points | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 20 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 24 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 10.5 1st half team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 11.5 1st half team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 12.5 1st half team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 13.5 1st half team totalCarolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 16 of 18· last season89%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.