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NFLGame line2nd half spread
CAR 2H -4.5 (2nd half spread)
Won3 of 5last 5 games · 60%
Best price+173Kalshi
Price needs36.6%wins to break even
Every game9 of 23this season and last
Trend score-15.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 37% to break even | 27%–86% | 23 points betterwon 60%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 37% to break even | 13%–56% | 7 points shortwon 30%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 37% to break even | 17%–54% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 37% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 37% to break even | 27%–86% | 23 points betterwon 60%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 6 of 1833%needs 37% to break even | 18%–53% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 37% to break even | 24%–56% | 3 points betterwon 39%, needs 37% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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CAR 2H -4.5 (2nd half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
2H margin in each game against car 2h -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2H margin | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  PHI | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  DET | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  CLE | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  ATL | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  CHI | -15 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 |  LAR | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 |  TB | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 |  SEA | -17 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | TB | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  NO | -6 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | LAR | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 |  SF | -4 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | ATL | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | NO | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  GB | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 |  BUF | -15 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  NYJ | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  DAL | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  MIA | 10 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  NE | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | ATL | 20 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  ARI | 12 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  JAX | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Carolina Panthers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.