This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 52% to break even | 13%–48% | 25 points shortwon 27%, needs 52% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 52% to break even | 22%–78% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 3 of 1817%needs 52% to break even | 7%–35% | 35 points shortwon 17%, needs 52% |
| Every game |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against under 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 rushing yardsKenny Gainwell |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsKenny Gainwell |
| 14%–42% |
| 27 points shortwon 25%, needs 52% |
| 17 |
| -5.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 5 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | -4 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 20 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | 26 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 50 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 80 | -68.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 92 | -80.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 24 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | -1 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 31 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 22 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 99 | -87.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 19 | -7.5 | Lost |
| -114at FanDuel |
| 15 of 18· last season83%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.8Not beating its price |
| Over 12.5 rushing yardsKenny Gainwell · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -110at BetRivers | 15 of 18· last season83%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 rushing yardsKenny Gainwell · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +129at Kalshi | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +109at Kalshi |
| 13 of 18· last season72%needs 48% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 receiving yardsKenny Gainwell · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -108at DraftKings | 12 of 18· last season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 receiving yardsKenny Gainwell · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsKenny Gainwell · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -122at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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