This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 52% to break even | 52%–87% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 52% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 52% to break even | 22%–78% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 15 of 1883%needs 52% to break even | 65%–93% | 31 points betterwon 83%, needs 52% |
| Every game |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against over 12.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 11.5 rushing yardsKenny Gainwell |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsKenny Gainwell |
| 18 of 2475%needs 52% to break even |
| 58%–86% |
| 23 points betterwon 75%, needs 52% |
| 17 |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 18 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 5 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | -4 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 15 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 20 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | 26 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 50 | +37.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 80 | +67.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 15 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 20 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 92 | +79.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 24 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 0 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | -1 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 31 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 14 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 22 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 99 | +86.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 16 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 20 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 19 | +6.5 | Won |
| -109at DraftKings |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even |
| -29.4Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 rushing yardsKenny Gainwell · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -121at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 55% to break even | -31.6Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 rushing yardsKenny Gainwell · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -183at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 65% to break even | -39.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +109at Kalshi |
| 13 of 18· last season72%needs 48% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 receiving yardsKenny Gainwell · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -108at DraftKings | 12 of 18· last season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 receiving yardsKenny Gainwell · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsKenny Gainwell · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -122at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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