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NFLPlayer propReceptions
Chris Godwin Jr. under 3.5 receptions
Won8 of 15last 15 games · 53%
Best price+140Kalshi
Price needs41.7%wins to break even
Every game8 of 15this season and last
Trend score-11.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 42% to break even | 27%–86% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 42% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 42% to break even | 33%–72% | 12 points betterwon 53%, needs 42% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 42% to break even | 22%–78% | 8 points betterwon 50%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 5 of 956%needs 42% to break even | 30%–78% | 14 points betterwon 56%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 8 of 1553%needs 42% to break even | 33%–72% | 12 points betterwon 53%, needs 42% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Chris Godwin Jr. under 3.5 receptions1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receptions in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 receptionsChris Godwin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -199at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 67% to break even | -31.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 receptionsChris Godwin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 3 of 9· last season33%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Chris Godwin Jr. in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsChris Godwin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even | -4.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsChris Godwin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 57% to break even | -33.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.