This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% | 1.6extra points made |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% | 1.8extra points made |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 43% to break even | 17%–54% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% | 1.8extra points made |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 43% to break even | 22%–78% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% | 1.8extra points made |
| Last season |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 11 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Extra points made in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Extra points made | Beat 1.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 7%–37% |
| 25 points shortwon 18%, needs 43% |
| 1.9extra points made |
| Every game | 6 of 2326%needs 43% to break even | 14%–43% | 16 points shortwon 26%, needs 43% | 1.9extra points made |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| -160at BetMGM |
| 14 of 17· last season82%needs 62% to break even9 of 11 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -18.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -115at DraftKings |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even5 of 11 on the road |
| -12.1Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 kicking pointsChase McLaughlin · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -122at DraftKings | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even5 of 11 on the road | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 kicking pointsChase McLaughlin · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +105at Fanatics | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 49% to break even6 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 field goals madeChase McLaughlin · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +100at Fanatics | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 50% to break even6 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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