This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 55% to break even | 65%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 55% to break even | 44%–87% | 15 points betterwon 70%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 55% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points shortwon 53%, needs 55% |
| This season | 5 of 5100%needs 55% to break even | 65%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 4 of 1724%needs 55% to break even | 11%–43% | 31 points shortwon 24%, needs 55% |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Passing yards in each game against over 250.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 224.5 passing yardsBryce Young |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 rushing yardsBryce Young |
| Every game |
| 9 of 2241%needs 55% to break even |
| 26%–58% |
| 14 points shortwon 41%, needs 55% |
| 281 |
| +30.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 4 | 329 | +78.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 291 | +40.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 287 | +36.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 361 | +110.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 264 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 266 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | 54 | -196.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 191 | -59.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 163 | -87.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 206 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 169 | -81.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 448 | +197.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 124 | -126.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 102 | -148.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 138 | -112.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 199 | -51.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 198 | -52.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 150 | -100.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 121 | -129.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 328 | +77.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 154 | -96.5 | Lost |
| +166at Kalshi |
| 13 of 17· last season76%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Under 250.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at Fanatics | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Under 253.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at BetOnline | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Under 256.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Under 274.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 15 of 17· last season88%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -114at FanDuel |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even |
| -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 completionsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -118at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 passing TDsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 60% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 55% to break even | -23.2Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at DraftKings | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.5Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 completionsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even | -28.6Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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