This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 54% to break even | 5%–56% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 54% to break even | 19%–65% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 54% to break even | 22%–61% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 54% to break even | 12%–65% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 11 of 2055%needs 54% to break even | 37%–72% | 1 points betterwon 55%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 13 of 2650%needs 54% to break even | 35%–65% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
3Q total points in each game against under 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q total points | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 3rd quarter totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET |
| Oct 15 | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 17 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 9 | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 8 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 28 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | 17 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 17 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 28 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 | 19 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 29 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even |
| -14.6Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 3rd quarter totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 35% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 42% to break even |
| 3.3Good |
| SEA -2.5 2nd half spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 50% to break even | 0.1Slight |
| SEA -3.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 36% to break even | -2.0Not beating its price |
| SEA -2.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 44% to break even | -3.2Not beating its price |
| SEA -1.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 45% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| SEA +2.5 2nd half spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 67% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price |
| SEA -0.5 4th quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 48% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price |
| SEA -6.5 spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| SEA -0.5 1st quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price |
| SEA -2.5 1st quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 44% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price |
| SEA -2.5 3rd quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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