This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 45% to break even | 5%–56% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 45% to break even | 13%–56% | 15 points shortwon 30%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 45% to break even | 13%–48% | 19 points shortwon 27%, needs 45% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 45% to break even | 12%–65% | 12 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 5 of 2025%needs 45% to break even | 13%–43% | 20 points shortwon 25%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 7 of 2627%needs 45% to break even | 15%–43% | 18 points shortwon 27%, needs 45% |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
SEA points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | SEA points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 29 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 8 | 29 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 41 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 37 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 44 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 35 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 25 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 44 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 team totalSeattle Seahawks · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 42% to break even | 3.3Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.