This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 54% to break even | 35%–81% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 54% to break even | 39%–78% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 54% to break even | 35%–88% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 7 of 2133%needs 54% to break even | 19%–51% | 21 points shortwon 33%, needs 54% |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 26.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptionsRashid Shaheed |
| Every game | 11 of 2741%needs 54% to break even | 27%–56% | 13 points shortwon 41%, needs 54% |
| Beat 26.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 66 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 23 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 20 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 35 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 4 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 21 | 51 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 20 | 0 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 2 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 8 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 0 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 74 | -47.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 67 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 7 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 0 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 3 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 68 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 75 | -48.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 40 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 28 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 114 | -87.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 47 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 42 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 52 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 33 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| -115at BetMGM |
| 14 of 21· last season67%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.0Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 14 of 21· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -113at BetRivers | 14 of 21· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 10 of 21· last season48%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +189at Kalshi |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 35% to break even |
| -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -134at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsRashid Shaheed · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 11 of 21· last season52%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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