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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Noah Gray over 15.5 receiving yards
Won8 of 15last 15 games · 53%
Best price-114FanDuel
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game9 of 19this season and last
Trend score-20.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 6 of 1443%needs 53% to break even | 24%–64% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 53% to break even | 30%–65% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Noah Gray over 15.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 15.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 15.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  LAC | 53 | +37.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  LV | 17 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  MIA | 39 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  IND | 0 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  DEN | 5 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | LV | 30 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | DEN | 2 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  TEN | 0 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  HOU | 14 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | IND | 25 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | DEN | 9 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  BUF | 0 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  WSH | 23 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | LV | 28 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  DET | 25 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  BAL | 1 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYG | 17 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  PHI | 1 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | LAC | 3 | -12.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsNoah Gray · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETKelce questionable: next up at TE |  -118at BetMGM | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 15.5 receiving yardsNoah Gray · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETKelce questionable: next up at TE |  -114at FanDuel | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Noah Gray in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptionsNoah Gray · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETKelce questionable: next up at TE |  +129at Kalshi | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 receptionsNoah Gray · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETKelce questionable: next up at TE | +173at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 37% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 receptionsNoah Gray · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETKelce questionable: next up at TE | -150at BetMGM | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 60% to break even | -25.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.