This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 10%needs 35% to break even | 0%–73% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% | 13receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 10%needs 35% to break even | 0%–73% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% | 13receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 10%needs 35% to break even | 0%–73% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% | 13receiving yards |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 35% to break even | 0%–73% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% | 13receiving yards |
| Every game | 0 of 10% |
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: SEA allows 100.5 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): a tough matchup for this bet. How SEA defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 13 | -6.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 0%–73% |
| 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% |
| 13receiving yards |
| -103at Kalshi |
| – |
| Too few games |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsAndrew Armstrong · Today 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -161at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +159at Kalshi |
| – |
| Too few games |
| Under 1.5 receptionsAndrew Armstrong · Today 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -191at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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