This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 71% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 71% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points shortwon 60%, needs 71% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 71% to break even | 35%–81% | 11 points shortwon 60%, needs 71% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 71% to break even | 46%–83% | 5 points shortwon 67%, needs 71% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 71% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points shortwon 60%, needs 71% |
| Last season | 15 of 2075%needs 71% to break even | 57%–87% | 4 points betterwon 75%, needs 71% |
| Every game |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Passing yards in each game against over 193.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 193.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 193.5 passing yardsSam Darnold |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 rushing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET |
| 56%–84% |
| 1 points betterwon 72%, needs 71% |
| Wk 6 | 278 | +84.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 195 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 168 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 379 | +185.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 13 | -180.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 202 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Wk 21 | 346 | +152.5 | Won |
| Wk 20 | 124 | -69.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | 198 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | 147 | -46.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 270 | +76.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 271 | +77.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 249 | +55.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 128 | -65.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 244 | +50.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 279 | +85.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 178 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 330 | +136.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 213 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 295 | +101.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 341 | +147.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 242 | +48.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 218 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 295 | +101.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 150 | -43.5 | Lost |
| +185at Bovada |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 35% to break even |
| -16.0Not beating its price |
| Under 199.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 39% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Under 203.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +145at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 41% to break even | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 213.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 222.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -114at BetRivers | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Under 223.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Under 225.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Under 233.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 59% to break even | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Under 243.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -185at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 65% to break even | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Under 253.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -240at Bovada | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 71% to break even | -25.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -114at FanDuel |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even |
| -11.5Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 pass attemptsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 rushing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -116at DraftKings | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 completionsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 62% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 passing TDsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 rushing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 20· last season20%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 rushing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -110at BetMGM | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.0Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 rushing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -108at BetOnline | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 52% to break even | -27.1Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 completionsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.