This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 9 of 2045%needs 53% to break even | 28%–63% | 8 points shortwon 45%, needs 53% |
| Every game |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Interceptions thrown in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownSam Darnold |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 203.5 passing yardsSam Darnold |
| 36%–67% |
| 1 points shortwon 52%, needs 53% |
| 2 |
| +1.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| -126at Kalshi |
| 11 of 20· last season55%needs 56% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -23.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +145at Bovada |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 41% to break even |
| -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 199.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 39% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 rushing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 pass attemptsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 rushing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -116at DraftKings | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 213.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 completionsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 253.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +175at Bovada | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Over 243.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +140at Bovada | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 193.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +185at Bovada | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 35% to break even | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Under 223.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Under 225.5 passing yardsSam Darnold · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.