This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 36% to break even | 27%–86% | 24 points betterwon 60%, needs 36% | 34.8total points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 36% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% | 45.2total points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 36% to break even | 17%–54% | 2 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% | 50total points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 36% to break even | 29%–81% | 22 points betterwon 57%, needs 36% | 36.4total points |
| Last season |
Tonight FIU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against LIB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 9 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 39.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 42.5 game total, FIU games |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIU +10.5 spread |
| 5%–37% |
| 20 points shortwon 15%, needs 36% |
| 58.5total points |
| Every game | 6 of 2030%needs 36% to break even | 16%–48% | 6 points shortwon 30%, needs 36% | 50.8total points |
| Oct 20 |
| 49 |
| -9.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 13 | 51 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 7 | 25 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 23 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 26 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 53 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 28 | +11.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | 77 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 72 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | JVST | 48 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 61 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 86 | -46.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | 49 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | 71 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | 31 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 61 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 54 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 66 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 34 | +5.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 51 | -11.5 | Lost |
| -175at Kalshi |
| 11 of 13· last season85%needs 64% to break even5 of 9 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -20.8Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, FIU gamesFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 62% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, FIU gamesFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 57% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, FIU gamesFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 54% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, FIU gamesFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 53% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, FIU gamesFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 50% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, FIU gamesFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 39% to break even3 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, FIU gamesFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 34% to break even3 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +119at Kalshi |
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 46% to break even7 of 9 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| 11.7Strong |
| FIU +7.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 39% to break even6 of 9 on the road | 11.6Strong |
| Over 19.5 team totalFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 40% to break even5 of 9 on the road | 10.2Strong |
| FIU +11.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 49% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is this season's | 9.3Strong |
| FIU +9.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 42% to break even6 of 9 on the road | 9.2Strong |
| FIU +13.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 51% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is this season's | 7.7Good |
| FIU to win moneylineFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +456at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 18% to break even3 of 9 on the road | 6.4Good |
| FIU +14.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 56% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is this season's | 3.7Good |
| Over 20.5 team totalFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 35% to break even5 of 9 on the road | 3.5Good |
| Over 16.5 team totalFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 50% to break even5 of 9 on the road | 2.1Slight |
| FIU +16.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 59% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is this season's | 1.3Slight |
| Over 15.5 team totalFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 53% to break even5 of 9 on the road | 1.3Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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