This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% | 19.8points |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 46% to break even | 7%–46% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% | 24.4points |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 46% to break even | 5%–33% | 32 points shortwon 13%, needs 46% | 27.1points |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 46% to break even | 10%–59% | 17 points shortwon 29%, needs 46% | 20.1points |
| Last season | 2 of 1315% |
Tonight FIU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against LIB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 9 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
FIU points in each game against under 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | FIU points | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 team total |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIU +10.5 spread |
| 5%–37% |
| 30 points shortwon 15%, needs 46% |
| 28.5points |
| Every game | 4 of 2020%needs 46% to break even | 9%–38% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% | 25.6points |
| 23 |
| -9.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 13 | 24 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 7 | 22 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 20 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 33 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 9 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | 20 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 56 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | JVST | 27 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 34 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 56 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | 21 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | 26 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | 25 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 38 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 0 | +13.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 42 | -28.5 | Lost |
| -168at Kalshi |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 63% to break even5 of 9 on the road |
| -6.6Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 team totalFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 53% to break even5 of 9 on the road | 1.3Slight |
| Over 16.5 team totalFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 50% to break even5 of 9 on the road | 2.1Slight |
| Over 19.5 team totalFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 40% to break even5 of 9 on the road | 10.2Strong |
| Over 20.5 team totalFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 35% to break even5 of 9 on the road | 3.5Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +119at Kalshi |
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 46% to break even7 of 9 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| 11.7Strong |
| FIU +7.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 39% to break even6 of 9 on the road | 11.6Strong |
| FIU +11.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 49% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is this season's | 9.3Strong |
| FIU +9.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 42% to break even6 of 9 on the road | 9.2Strong |
| FIU +13.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 51% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is this season's | 7.7Good |
| FIU to win moneylineFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +456at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 18% to break even3 of 9 on the road | 6.4Good |
| FIU +14.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 56% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is this season's | 3.7Good |
| FIU +16.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 59% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is this season's | 1.3Slight |
| FIU +17.5 spreadFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 63% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is this season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, FIU gamesFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 50% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, FIU gamesFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 53% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, FIU gamesFlorida International · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 54% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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