This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 85% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 85% to break even | 44%–95% | 5 points shortwon 80%, needs 85% | won by 20.4points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 85% to break even | 54%–93% | 5 points shortwon 80%, needs 85% | won by 16.1points |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 85% to break even | 59%–92% | 5 points shortwon 80%, needs 85% | won by 11.7points |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 85% to break even | 55%–97% | 1 points betterwon 86%, needs 85% | won by 18points |
| Last season |
Tonight WAKE plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against UVA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 10 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against WAKE to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 46%–85% |
| 16 points shortwon 69%, needs 85% |
| won by 6points |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 85% to break even | 57%–87% | 10 points shortwon 75%, needs 85% | won by 10.2points |
| 34 |
| +34 |
| Won |
| Oct 10 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 54 | +54 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 18 | -13 | -13 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Sep 3 | 22 | +22 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 38 | +38 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 16 | +16 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -35 | -35 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 25 | +25 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 1 | +1 | Won |
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