This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 18% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 18% to break even | 14%–73% | 22 points betterwon 40%, needs 18% | lost by 0.4points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 18% to break even | 27%–73% | 32 points betterwon 50%, needs 18% | won by 6.8points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 18% to break even | 39%–78% | 42 points betterwon 60%, needs 18% | won by 7.3points |
| This season | 4 of 850%needs 18% to break even | 25%–75% | 32 points betterwon 50%, needs 18% | won by 8.6points |
| Last season |
Tonight UVA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against WAKE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against UVA to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 11 of 1479%needs 18% to break even |
| 57%–91% |
| 61 points betterwon 79%, needs 18% |
| won by 11.2points |
| Every game | 15 of 2268%needs 18% to break even | 51%–82% | 50 points betterwon 68%, needs 18% | won by 10.3points |
| This season |
| Oct 23 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 3 | -31 | -31 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 39 | +39 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | 56 | +56 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 26 | +26 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | 20 | +20 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 39 | +39 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 41 | +41 | Won |
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