This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 15% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 15% to break even | 27%–86% | 45 points betterwon 60%, needs 15% | lost by 13.6points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 15% to break even | 27%–73% | 35 points betterwon 50%, needs 15% | lost by 13.3points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 15% to break even | 22%–61% | 25 points betterwon 40%, needs 15% | lost by 13.7points |
| This season | 4 of 850%needs 15% to break even | 25%–75% | 35 points betterwon 50%, needs 15% | lost by 15.6points |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 15% to break even | 16%–57% | 18 points betterwon 33%, needs 15% | lost by 10.3points |
| Every game | 8 of 2040%needs 15% to break even | 24%–58% | 25 points betterwon 40%, needs 15% | lost by 12.4points |
Tonight STAN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against LOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 9 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against STAN to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 27 | +27 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -51 | -51 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -54 | -54 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -28 | -28 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | -39 | -39 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -29 | -29 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 21 | +21 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -35 | -35 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -24 | -24 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -28 | -28 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -24 | -24 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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