This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 93% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 93% to break even | 27%–86% | 33 points shortwon 60%, needs 93% | won by 7.2points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 93% to break even | 35%–81% | 33 points shortwon 60%, needs 93% | won by 9.3points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 93% to break even | 39%–78% | 33 points shortwon 60%, needs 93% | won by 7.9points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 93% to break even | 29%–81% | 35 points shortwon 57%, needs 93% | won by 11.3points |
| Last season | 9 of 1369% |
Tonight LOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against STAN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 12 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against LOU to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 46%–85% |
| 23 points shortwon 69%, needs 93% |
| won by 8.8points |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 93% to break even | 47%–80% | 28 points shortwon 65%, needs 93% | won by 9.7points |
| Oct 17 |
| 8 |
| +8 |
| Won |
| Oct 9 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Oct 3 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Sep 11 | 46 | +46 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 23 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 41 | +41 | Won |
| Nov 22 | -32 | -32 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 12 | +12 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Oct 17 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 4 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 23 | +23 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 34 | +34 | Won |
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