This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 26% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 26% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points betterwon 40%, needs 26% | lost by 4.6points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 26% to break even | 13%–56% | 4 points betterwon 30%, needs 26% | lost by 7.6points |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 26% to break even | 8%–41% | 6 points shortwon 20%, needs 26% | lost by 12.2points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 26% to break even | 19%–71% | 17 points betterwon 43%, needs 26% | won by 5.3points |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 26% to break even | 10%–49% | 1 points shortwon 25%, needs 26% | lost by 14.7points |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 26% to break even | 17%–50% | 5 points betterwon 32%, needs 26% | lost by 7.4points |
Tonight SYR plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against SMU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against SYR to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 63 | +63 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -22 | -22 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -63 | -63 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -28 | -28 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -25 | -25 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -35 | -35 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 42 | +42 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -19 | -19 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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