This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 78% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 78% to break even | 44%–95% | 2 points betterwon 80%, needs 78% | won by 11.6points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 78% to break even | 54%–93% | 2 points betterwon 80%, needs 78% | won by 14.1points |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 78% to break even | 59%–92% | 2 points betterwon 80%, needs 78% | won by 14.2points |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 78% to break even | 55%–97% | 7 points betterwon 86%, needs 78% | won by 15.3points |
| Last season |
Tonight SMU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SYR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 8 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against SMU to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 9 of 1369%needs 78% to break even |
| 46%–85% |
| 9 points shortwon 69%, needs 78% |
| won by 11.7points |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 78% to break even | 57%–87% | 3 points shortwon 75%, needs 78% | won by 13points |
| 39 |
| +39 |
| Won |
| Oct 17 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 9 | +9 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 46 | +46 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 11 | +11 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 13 | +13 | Won |
| Sep 20 | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 18 | +18 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 29 | +29 | Won |
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