This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 31% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 31% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points betterwon 40%, needs 31% | lost by 6points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 31% to break even | 13%–56% | 1 points shortwon 30%, needs 31% | lost by 12points |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 31% to break even | 8%–41% | 11 points shortwon 20%, needs 31% | lost by 11.3points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 31% to break even | 19%–71% | 11 points betterwon 43%, needs 31% | lost by 1points |
| Last season |
Tonight PUR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against PSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against PUR to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 6%–40% |
| 15 points shortwon 17%, needs 31% |
| lost by 13.1points |
| Every game | 5 of 1926%needs 31% to break even | 13%–45% | 5 points shortwon 26%, needs 31% | lost by 8.6points |
| -12 |
| -12 |
| Lost |
| Oct 10 | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -39 | -39 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Sep 4 | 25 | +25 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | -53 | -53 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -36 | -36 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -24 | -24 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -19 | -19 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -16 | -16 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -26 | -26 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -16 | -16 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 31 | +31 | Won |
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