This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 75% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 75% to break even | 5%–56% | 55 points shortwon 20%, needs 75% | won by 1.2points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 75% to break even | 35%–81% | 15 points shortwon 60%, needs 75% | won by 11.2points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 75% to break even | 28%–67% | 29 points shortwon 47%, needs 75% | won by 6.7points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 75% to break even | 19%–71% | 33 points shortwon 43%, needs 75% | won by 9.9points |
| Last season | 7 of 1354% |
Tonight PSU plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against PUR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 11 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against PSU to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 32%–74% |
| 22 points shortwon 54%, needs 75% |
| won by 10.5points |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 75% to break even | 33%–67% | 25 points shortwon 50%, needs 75% | won by 10.3points |
| Oct 17 |
| -3 |
| -3 |
| Lost |
| Oct 10 | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Oct 2 | -21 | -21 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 42 | +42 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 18 | +18 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 45 | +45 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 12 | +12 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 27 | +27 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 18 | +18 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -24 | -24 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 46 | +46 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 34 | +34 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 35 | +35 | Won |
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