This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 84% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 84% to break even | 14%–73% | 44 points shortwon 40%, needs 84% | won by 4.8points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 84% to break even | 27%–73% | 34 points shortwon 50%, needs 84% | won by 2.5points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 84% to break even | 39%–78% | 24 points shortwon 60%, needs 84% | won by 2.8points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 84% to break even | 29%–81% | 27 points shortwon 57%, needs 84% | won by 4.6points |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 84% to break even | 46%–85% | 15 points shortwon 69%, needs 84% | won by 7.2points |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 84% to break even | 47%–80% | 19 points shortwon 65%, needs 84% | won by 6.3points |
Tonight MICH plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against RUTG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 7 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against MICH to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 35 | +35 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -18 | -18 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 25 | +25 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -18 | -18 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 60 | +60 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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