This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 30% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 30% to break even | 27%–86% | 30 points betterwon 60%, needs 30% | won by 3.6points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 30% to break even | 27%–73% | 20 points betterwon 50%, needs 30% | lost by 0.6points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 30% to break even | 17%–54% | 3 points betterwon 33%, needs 30% | lost by 8.1points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 30% to break even | 29%–81% | 27 points betterwon 57%, needs 30% | won by 0.9points |
| Last season |
Tonight BC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DUKE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 8 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against BC to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 2 of 1217%needs 30% to break even |
| 6%–40% |
| 14 points shortwon 17%, needs 30% |
| lost by 7.3points |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 30% to break even | 17%–50% | 1 points betterwon 32%, needs 30% | lost by 4.3points |
| 22 |
| +22 |
| Won |
| Oct 17 | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Oct 3 | -9 | -9 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Sep 11 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -19 | -19 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 22 | +22 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -32 | -32 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -15 | -15 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -15 | -15 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -31 | -31 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -41 | -41 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 56 | +56 | Won |
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