This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 72% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 72% to break even | 44%–95% | 8 points betterwon 80%, needs 72% | won by 18.6points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 72% to break even | 35%–81% | 12 points shortwon 60%, needs 72% | won by 6.4points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 72% to break even | 33%–72% | 19 points shortwon 53%, needs 72% | won by 4.9points |
| This season | 6 of 875%needs 72% to break even | 46%–91% | 3 points betterwon 75%, needs 72% | won by 12.4points |
| Last season |
Tonight MEM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ARMY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 10 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against MEM to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 39%–80% |
| 11 points shortwon 62%, needs 72% |
| won by 9.3points |
| Every game | 14 of 2167%needs 72% to break even | 49%–81% | 6 points shortwon 67%, needs 72% | won by 10.5points |
| Oct 22 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Oct 16 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Oct 10 | 25 | +25 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 51 | +51 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -18 | -18 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 18 | +18 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 | -24 | -24 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 38 | +38 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 29 | +29 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 21 | +21 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 22 | +22 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 35 | +35 | Won |
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