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Won8 of 14last season · 57%
Best price+456Kalshi
Price needs18.0%wins to break even
Every game11 of 20this season and last
Trend score7.7Good
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 18% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 18% to break even | 14%–73% | 22 points betterwon 40%, needs 18% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 18% to break even | 27%–73% | 32 points betterwon 50%, needs 18% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 18% to break even | 33%–72% | 35 points betterwon 53%, needs 18% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 18% to break even | 22%–78% | 32 points betterwon 50%, needs 18% |
| Last season | 8 of 1457%needs 18% to break even | 36%–76% | 39 points betterwon 57%, needs 18% |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 18% to break even | 37%–72% | 37 points betterwon 55%, needs 18% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TROY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against JMU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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TROY to win (moneyline)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against troy to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  UL | -27 | -27 | Lost |
| Oct 6 |  USM | 21 | +21 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  USU | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  MIZ | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  ALST | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  SHSU | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 16 | JVST | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Dec 5 |  JMU | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | USM | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  GAST | 12 | +12 | Won |
| Nov 13 |  ODU | -33 | -33 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  ARST | -13 | -13 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | UL | 12 | +12 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  ULM | 23 | +23 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  TXST | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  USA | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  BUF | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  MEM | -21 | -21 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  CLEM | -11 | -11 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  NICH | 18 | +18 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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