This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 90% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 90% to break even | 44%–95% | 10 points shortwon 80%, needs 90% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 90% to break even | 54%–93% | 10 points shortwon 80%, needs 90% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 90% to break even | 67%–95% | 3 points shortwon 87%, needs 90% |
| This season | 7 of 888%needs 90% to break even | 59%–97% | 2 points shortwon 88%, needs 90% |
| Last season | 12 of 1486%needs 90% to break even | 65%–95% | 4 points shortwon 86%, needs 90% |
| Every game | 19 of 2286%needs 90% to break even | 70%–94% | 3 points shortwon 86%, needs 90% |
Tonight JMU plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against TROY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against jmu to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 27 | +27 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 26 | +26 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 84 | +84 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 20 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 49 | +49 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 48 | +48 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 12 | +12 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 32 | +32 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 36 | +36 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 25 | +25 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 18 | +18 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 35 | +35 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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