This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 54% to break even | 65%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 54% to break even | 44%–87% | 16 points betterwon 70%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 54% to break even | 52%–87% | 20 points betterwon 73%, needs 54% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 54% to break even | 41%–90% | 18 points betterwon 71%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 54% to break even | 39%–80% | 8 points betterwon 62%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 54% to break even | 47%–80% | 11 points betterwon 65%, needs 54% |
Tonight WKU plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against DEL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 59.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 14 | 19 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 47 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 47 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 59 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 38 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 90 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 63 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 23 | 43 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | JVST | 71 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 23 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 68 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 51 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 55 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 31 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 51 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 49 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 47 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 66 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 61 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 65 | -5.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 59.5 game total, WKU gamesWestern Kentucky · Tue, Oct 27, 7:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU to win moneylineWestern Kentucky · Tue, Oct 27, 7:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price | |
| WKU +2.5 spreadWestern Kentucky · Tue, Oct 27, 7:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.