This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 53% to break even | 54%–93% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 53% to break even | 52%–87% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 53% to break even | 55%–97% | 33 points betterwon 86%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 53% to break even | 46%–85% | 16 points betterwon 69%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 53% to break even | 57%–87% | 22 points betterwon 75%, needs 53% |
Tonight TENN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against WIU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tenn +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 16 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN to win moneylineTennessee-Martin · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET |
| 7 |
| +9.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 10 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 33 | +35.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 21 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 47 | +49.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | -2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -21 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 20 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 33 | +35.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 22 | +24.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -17 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 32 | +34.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 55 | +57.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 19 | +21.5 | Won |
| 6 of 7· this season86%needs 49% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -2.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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