This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 333%needs 57% to break even | 8%–75% | 23 points shortwon 33%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 333%needs 57% to break even | 8%–75% | 23 points shortwon 33%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 333%needs 57% to break even | 8%–75% | 23 points shortwon 33%, needs 57% |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 57% to break even | 12%–88% | 7 points shortwon 50%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 0 of 10%needs 57% to break even | 0%–73% | 57 points shortwon 0%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 1 of 333%needs 57% to break even | 8%–75% | 23 points shortwon 33%, needs 57% |
Tonight CIT plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against TNTC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against cit +20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIT to win moneylineThe Citadel · Tomorrow 2:00 PM ET | +841at Kalshi | 1 of 3· last 5 games, 2 skipped33%needs 11% to break even | -1.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 51.5 game total, CIT gamesThe Citadel · Tomorrow 2:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 2 of 3· last 5 games, 2 skipped67%needs 53% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 51.5 game total, CIT gamesThe Citadel · Tomorrow 2:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 1 of 3· last 5 games, 2 skipped33%needs 54% to break even | -17.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.