This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 475%needs 41% to break even | 36%–94% | 34 points betterwon 75%, needs 41% | 46.5total points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 475%needs 41% to break even | 36%–94% | 34 points betterwon 75%, needs 41% | 46.5total points |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 475%needs 41% to break even | 36%–94% | 34 points betterwon 75%, needs 41% | 46.5total points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 41% to break even | 12%–88% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% | 40total points |
| Last season | 2 of 2100%needs 41% to break even | 42%–100% | 59 points betterwon 100%, needs 41% | 53total points |
| Every game | 3 of 475%needs 41% to break even | 36%–94% | 34 points betterwon 75%, needs 41% | 46.5total points |
Tonight LIU plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against STO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 42.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 34.5 game total, LIU gamesLIU · Today 12:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 1 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped25%needs 43% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 38.5 game total, LIU gamesLIU · Today 12:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 1 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped25%needs 54% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 42.5 game total, LIU gamesLIU · Today 12:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 1 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped25%needs 67% to break even | -27.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIU -6.5 spreadLIU · Today 12:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 0 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped0%needs 40% to break even | -17.6Not beating its price | ||
| LIU -2.5 spreadLIU · Today 12:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 1 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped25%needs 56% to break even | -22.2Not beating its price | ||
| LIU to win moneylineLIU · Today 12:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 1 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped25%needs 60% to break even | -23.9Not beating its price | ||
| LIU +1.5 spreadLIU · Today 12:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 1 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped25%needs 62% to break even | -24.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.