This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 46.6total points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 48.7total points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 52% to break even | 28%–67% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% | 49.9total points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% | 45.4total points |
| Last season | 8 of 1267%needs 52% to break even | 43%–84% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% | 55.6total points |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 52% to break even | 39%–74% | 6 points betterwon 58%, needs 52% | 51.8total points |
Tonight SHSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MOST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 10 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 51.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 51.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 54 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 19 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 38 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 63 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 59 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 40 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 45 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 72 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 48 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 49 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 38 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 69 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 52 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | JVST | 56 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 2 | 47 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 55 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 57 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 59 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 65 | +13.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 51.5 game total, SHSU gamesSam Houston State Bearkats · Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -21.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU to win moneylineSam Houston State Bearkats · Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET | NV+186at Novig | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 35% to break even1 of 10 on the road | -23.1Not beating its price | ||
| SHSU +5.5 spreadSam Houston State Bearkats · Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET | NV-1900at Novig | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 95% to break even2 of 10 on the road | -66.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.