This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 743%needs 53% to break even | 19%–71% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 743%needs 53% to break even | 19%–71% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 53% to break even | 19%–71% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 3 of 743%needs 53% to break even | 19%–71% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 53% |
Tonight NDSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against UNM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 40.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 34.5 game total, NDSU gamesNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU +0.5 1st half spreadNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET |
| 70 |
| +29.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 5 | 38 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 40 | -0.5 | Lost |
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 34% to break even |
| -12.7Not beating its price |
| Under 37.5 game total, NDSU gamesNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 44% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price |
| Under 40.5 game total, NDSU gamesNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped57%needs 52% to break even | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, NDSU gamesNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -106at Bally Bet | 5 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped71%needs 51% to break even | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, NDSU gamesNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped71%needs 61% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, NDSU gamesNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped71%needs 64% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, NDSU gamesNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 5 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped71%needs 67% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped100%needs 48% to break even |
| 12.4Strong |
| NDSU +2.5 1st half spreadNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 7 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped100%needs 51% to break even | 10.7Strong |
| NDSU -2.5 spreadNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 6 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped86%needs 34% to break even | 9.6Strong |
| NDSU -2.5 1st half spreadNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped86%needs 36% to break even | 8.4Strong |
| NDSU to win moneylineNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | PX+174at ProphetX | 6 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped86%needs 36% to break even | 7.8Good |
| NDSU -1.5 spreadNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 6 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped86%needs 37% to break even | 7.8Good |
| NDSU -0.5 1st half spreadNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped86%needs 38% to break even | 7.2Good |
| NDSU +3.5 1st half spreadNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 7 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped100%needs 58% to break even | 6.5Good |
| NDSU +6.5 spreadNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 7 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped100%needs 58% to break even | 6.5Good |
| NDSU +1.5 spreadNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped86%needs 41% to break even | 5.4Good |
| NDSU +2.5 spreadNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 6 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped86%needs 42% to break even | 4.8Good |
| NDSU +4.5 1st half spreadNorth Dakota State Bison · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 7 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped100%needs 63% to break even | 3.7Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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