This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 51% to break even | 5%–56% | 31 points shortwon 20%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 51% to break even | 13%–56% | 21 points shortwon 30%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 51% to break even | 13%–48% | 24 points shortwon 27%, needs 51% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 51% to break even | 10%–59% | 22 points shortwon 29%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 51% to break even | 10%–49% | 26 points shortwon 25%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 5 of 1926%needs 51% to break even | 13%–45% | 25 points shortwon 26%, needs 51% |
Tonight UK plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against VAN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against uk -10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 24 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -28 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 32 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -41 | -51.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -28 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 32 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 31 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -22 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -3 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -21 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -22 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 25 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -7 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.5 game total, UK gamesKentucky Wildcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 51.5 game total, UK gamesKentucky Wildcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price | |
| UK to win moneylineKentucky Wildcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | PX-410at ProphetX | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 80% to break even | -29.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.