This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 38% to break even | 27%–86% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 38% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 38% to break even | 13%–48% | 11 points shortwon 27%, needs 38% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 38% to break even | 35%–88% | 29 points betterwon 67%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 1 of 128%needs 38% to break even | 2%–30% | 29 points shortwon 8%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 5 of 1828%needs 38% to break even | 14%–47% | 10 points shortwon 28%, needs 38% |
Tonight GAST plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against ARST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against gast -6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -27 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 32 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 21 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -14 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 14 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 49 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -17 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -12 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -12 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -13 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | -7 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -17 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -21 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -7 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -49 | -55.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 16 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -22 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -56 | -62.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.